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怡婷's Question
Math
Posted 9 months ago
在南北家有8張黑桃的情況下 西家剛好有一張的機率
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Answer from Sia
Posted 9 months ago
Solution by Steps
step 1
我們已知南、北家共有 8 張黑桃,整副牌中黑桃的總數為 S=13S = 13。因此,剩下的黑桃數量為 S8=5S - 8 = 5
step 2
西家有 13 張牌。我們需要找到這 13 張牌中恰好有一張黑桃的機率。
step 3
選擇 1 張黑桃的方式數量為 (51)=5 \binom{5}{1} = 5
step 4
選擇 12 張非黑桃的方式數量為 (3912)=15,817,620 \binom{39}{12} = 15,817,620
step 5
選擇西家 13 張牌的總方式數量為 (5213)=635,013,559,600 \binom{52}{13} = 635,013,559,600
step 6
因此,西家恰好有一張黑桃的機率為 (51)(3912)(5213)=515,817,620635,013,559,6000.0654 \frac{\binom{5}{1} \cdot \binom{39}{12}}{\binom{52}{13}} = \frac{5 \cdot 15,817,620}{635,013,559,600} \approx 0.0654
Answer
The probability that the West player has exactly one spade is approximately 0.0654.
Key Concept
Conditional Probability
Explanation
The problem involves calculating the probability of a specific event (West player having exactly one spade) given a certain condition (South and North players having 8 spades). This is done using combinatorial methods to count the favorable outcomes and the total possible outcomes.

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