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Question
Math
Posted 10 months ago

A political consultant wants to sample residents of a county to estimate what proportion of all the county's residents support a certain candidate. They will use the sample data to construct a one-sample zz interval for the proportion, and they are considering two sample sizes: a large sample of n=900n=900 for more accurate results, or a small sample of n=100n=100 to save time and money.

Assuming the sample proportion is the same in each sample, what is true about the margins of error from these two samples?

The margin of error from the smaller sample will be about select ratio the margin of error from the larger sample.
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Answer from Sia
Posted 10 months ago
Solution by Steps
step 1
Identify the formula for the margin of error in a one-sample zz interval for the proportion
step 2
The margin of error (ME) is calculated using the formula ME=zp^(1p^)nME = z \cdot \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1 - \hat{p})}{n}}, where zz is the zz-score corresponding to the desired confidence level, p^\hat{p} is the sample proportion, and nn is the sample size
step 3
Since the sample proportion p^\hat{p} is the same for both samples, and the zz-score is constant for a given confidence level, the margin of error is inversely proportional to the square root of the sample size nn
step 4
Calculate the ratio of the margins of error for the two sample sizes: MEsmallMElarge=zp^(1p^)100zp^(1p^)900\frac{ME_{small}}{ME_{large}} = \frac{z \cdot \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1 - \hat{p})}{100}}}{z \cdot \sqrt{\frac{\hat{p}(1 - \hat{p})}{900}}}
step 5
Simplify the ratio by canceling out common factors: MEsmallMElarge=11001900=91=3\frac{ME_{small}}{ME_{large}} = \frac{\sqrt{\frac{1}{100}}}{\sqrt{\frac{1}{900}}} = \frac{\sqrt{9}}{\sqrt{1}} = 3
Answer
The margin of error from the smaller sample will be about 3 times the margin of error from the larger sample.
Key Concept
Margin of Error and Sample Size Relationship
Explanation
The margin of error for a proportion is inversely proportional to the square root of the sample size, which means that when the sample size is multiplied by a factor, the margin of error is divided by the square root of that factor.

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